Super El Niño Just Took a Huge Turn — And Nobody Knows What Happens Next

Welcome to Nature Unfolds, where we explore how the natural world takes shape. The Pacific off South America is running hotter than anything in the modern record, and for a few weeks in October it looked like that was the whole story. Then the warming paused, and people said the super El Niño was dying. It was not. This film follows three thermometers, the central Pacific, the coast of Peru and the polar vortex high over the Arctic, to show what just changed for winter 2026–27 and what nobody knows yet. 0:00 Flooding in Tumbes, Peru, and the turn 1:24 Three thermometers: the Pacific and the Peru coast 5:32 The October pause and what NOAA said on November 12 9:47 The Arctic vortex and the hurricane season that waited 14:03 Two winters that taught us, and your winter state by state Join us for a closer look at the processes connecting Earth’s landscapes, oceans, and atmosphere. Follow the science behind natural phenomena and discover how gradual changes and powerful events shape the world around us. If you enjoy exploring nature through clear explanations, subscribe and join us for more documentaries: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3LFHCAdf4AFtUnmQMQV_TQ?sub_confirmation=1 Thanks for watching. Share your thoughts below, and let us know what you’d like to understand next. Some scenes are animated diagrams and illustrations, and some clips are representative footage rather than the exact event described. SOURCES: NOAA Climate Prediction Center (ENSO diagnostic discussions, weekly OISST, 90-day outlook); NOAA National Hurricane Center; NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory; NASA; NWS; IRI Columbia University; World Meteorological Organization; Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Met Office; Climate.gov; Ready.gov; Fox 10, WUSF and AP reporting on fall 2026 floods. Figures are from the sources named in the film, forecasts are labelled as forecasts. FOOTAGE CREDITS: Latina Noticias, Trome Perú, RPP Noticias, CBS Evening News, CBS This Morning (Internet Archive), Duncan Sinfield, Kenny Reff, Stan Atamanchuk, Sean Naber, realguttaproductions, Los100deSullana, Miami-Dade County, City of San Diego Storm Water Division, Ifremer, Ocean Observatories Initiative; NASA/Goddard SVS, NOAA Visualizations, NOAA/CSU-CIRA GOES imagery (public domain); stock clips from Pixabay. Maps: Natural Earth. #SuperElNino #ElNino #WinterForecast #PolarVortex